Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.095654 1.304384 1.523012 1.767539 2.031944 2.307898 2.616384
2025-01-26 0.846627 1.146295 1.480103 1.872793 2.316078 2.795745 3.349070
2025-02-02 0.729886 1.080961 1.488381 1.982801 2.554981 3.186521 3.927159
2025-02-09 0.650278 1.044669 1.519044 2.109705 2.806868 3.588136 4.515713
2025-02-16 0.566310 0.987779 1.512771 2.182256 2.986527 3.899833 4.995611
2025-02-23 0.476642 0.910740 1.472068 2.205472 3.101926 4.132880 5.382047
2025-03-02 0.365168 0.787912 1.361262 2.132573 3.094472 4.216594 5.591100
2025-03-09 0.269004 0.671155 1.246803 2.045486 3.061988 4.264592 5.753218
2025-03-16 0.203584 0.589440 1.171258 2.001263 3.076373 4.363457 5.970526
2025-03-23 0.169811 0.554225 1.157304 2.035011 3.185912 4.574888 6.319309
2025-03-30 0.134161 0.508307 1.123349 2.038687 3.254996 4.735601 6.606549
2025-04-06 0.095579 0.446507 1.059656 1.997455 3.263377 4.819839 6.800519
2025-04-13 0.084283 0.442748 1.089395 2.091915 3.455521 5.140059 7.290815
2025-04-20 0.076191 0.445051 1.129076 2.201605 3.669565 5.490030 7.820553
2025-04-27 0.071134 0.453346 1.177747 2.323481 3.899065 5.858675 8.372348
2025-05-04 0.068758 0.468075 1.237084 2.460967 4.149682 6.254310 8.957808
2025-05-11 0.058840 0.459589 1.256410 2.540021 4.322627 6.552998 9.425707
2025-05-18 0.044062 0.431312 1.239703 2.565150 4.422938 6.760300 9.782176
2025-05-25 0.023057 0.367518 1.154923 2.485998 4.380816 6.786686 9.916328
2025-06-01 0.008549 0.304615 1.063417 2.391271 4.313626 6.778353 10.005340
2025-06-08 0.002343 0.262568 1.005193 2.343118 4.306657 6.843717 10.182277
2025-06-15 0.000754 0.248819 1.001915 2.379870 4.416486 7.058375 10.543811
2025-06-22 0.000004 0.226757 0.978848 2.383872 4.479855 7.212742 10.830203